While i think numbers are over rated and there is something about a prescence in a lineup. Just because you have a guy with 4.0 war doesnt mean you fill him with 2 players with 2 war each and all is the same. It might be intheory but there are intangibles, the way they are pitched to, their experience, their clutch hitting. Someone can put up great numbers in blowouts than choke in big games. Andrew wont agree tho so not much point stating it.
Regardless Ortiz is still a loss they will have to make up
The whole clutch hitting thing has been debated here a few times but the reality is that there's no evidence to suggest it's actually a skill.
However I wouldn't call "experience" an intangible per se. I think having major league reps under one's belt is a very valuable thing. Pitchers and hitters will make adjustments to each other over time and good players have a way of recognizing certain things sooner. Experience (ie. knowledge) can absolutely rub off on young players in a clubhouse too.
With regards to a single 4 WAR player vs. two 2 WAR players, context is key. Who is hitting behind the 4 WAR player? Is he replacement level? Because having a lineup where a 4 WAR and a 0 WAR player hit back-to-back is probably going to result in fewer runs than having a 2 WAR player followed by a 2 WAR player.
I like how he says "Andrew wont agree" as if I'm some outlier or something lol.
A more accurate statement would be "pretty much no team in baseball would agree".
4 hours ago
(This post was last modified: 4 hours ago by Chris D.)
Edwin provides offense that isn't replaced by Morales or Pearce...but if downgrading Edwin to Morales, means an increase in production at first by Pearce over Smoak (assuming Pearce is at first), then I think Morales and Pearce may actually work out better than Edwin and Smoak.
then you add the flexibility of being able to do more with the lineup, Pearce can play multiple positions, Smoak can now come off the bench and play when the lineup suits him more...Can have Morales play at first the odd day, Bautista can play DH, while Pearce takes the OF...they just may end up have a better lineup without EE, than with him.
balance is a thing too.
Says the guy that quotes fangraphs with every argument he has on here and uses war to win every discussion.